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Cyclone Remal Threatens Eastern India: Unpredictable Path Creates Uncertainty

Cyclone Remal is brewing in the Bay of Bengal, expected to form over the east-central region by early morning of May 25th. However, its path and intensity remain highly uncertain, posing a significant challenge for authorities.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts the low-pressure system will intensify into a depression by May 24th morning, potentially reaching severe cyclone status with wind speeds up to 120 km/hr by May 26th as it approaches the coasts of West Bengal and Bangladesh.

Uncertain Path Creates Confusion

Weather models offer conflicting forecasts. Windy.com presents two possibilities based on different data sources:

  • European Data (ECMWF): A weaker system traveling north, making landfall near the Sundarbans delta in West Bengal on May 26th evening.
  • US Data (GFS): A stronger system taking a sharp westward turn, crossing the Odisha coast between Puri and Paradip on May 26th morning.

Warm Sea Temperatures Fuel Concerns

The US Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) highlights warm sea surface temperatures as a factor favoring cyclone formation. However, they haven’t provided a specific track or wind speed predictions for Remal yet.

Early Warning Systems Crucial

Recent unpredictable cyclones across the globe emphasize the need for robust early warning systems. The IMD has already issued heavy rainfall warnings for West Bengal, Odisha, Mizoram, Tripura, and south Manipur for May 26th and 27th.

Authorities on High Alert

National and international weather agencies, particularly the IMD, and state administrations in potentially affected regions are closely monitoring the situation and will be on high alert for the next two days as Cyclone Remal makes landfall.

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